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 Re: هل لسودانيز اون لاين ان تتبنى يوما لنشر التوعية العامة بمرض الايدز...؟؟؟ (Re: Hisham Amin)
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UNAIDS/WHO Epidemiological Fact Sheet - 2004 Update
Adults (15-49
HIV/AIDS estimates
In 2003 and during the first quarter of 2004, UNAIDS and WHO worked closely with national governments and research institutions to recalculate current estimates on people living with HIV/AIDS. These calculations are based on the previously published estimates for 1999 and 2001 and recent trends in HIV/AIDS surveillance in various populations. A methodology developed in collaboration with an international group of experts was used to calculate the new estimates on prevalence and incidence of HIV and AIDS deaths, as well as the number of children infected through mother-to-child transmission of HIV. Different approaches were used to estimate HIV prevalence in countries with low-level, concentrated or generalised epidemics. The
current estimates do not claim to be an exact count of infections. Rather, they use a methodology that has thus far proved accurate in producing estimates that give a good indication of the magnitude of the epidemic in individual countries. However, these estimates are constantly being revised as countries improve their surveillance systems and collect more information.
Adults in this report are defined as women and men aged 15 to 49. This age range covers people in their most sexually active years. While the risk of HIV infection obviously continues beyond the age of 50, the vast majority of those who engage in substantial risk behaviours are likely to be infected by this age. The 15 to 49 range was used as the denominator in calculating adult HIV prevalence.
Estimated number of adults and children living with HIV/AIDS, end of 2003
These estimates include all people with HIV infection, whether or not they have developed symptoms of AIDS,alive at the end of 2003:
Adults and children
Women (15-49
Children (0-15
400,000
380,000
220,000
21,000
Adult rate (%) 2.3
Estimated number of deaths due to AIDS
Estimated number of adults and children who died of AIDS during 2003:
Deaths in 2003 23,000
Estimated number of orphans
Current living orphans
Assessment of the epidemiological situation 2004
In October, 2002, the results of an epidemiologic survey conducted among 7,385 individuals in 11 of the 16 states, involving a number of groups at varying risk of infection. were reported*. Persons tested included Sudanese and nonSudanese, and the seroprevalence among Sudanese was 1.6%. Of 3,355 women in ANC care, 30 (1.0%) were infected. Of 367 Sudanese sex workers, 16 (4.4%) were infected. Lesser prevalences were found among prisoners (4 of 200, 2.0%), soldiers (2 of 377, 0.5%), those with STDs (4 of 362, 1.1%), university students (4 of 369, 1.1%)and TB patients (6 of 367, 1.6%). The Sudan National AIDS Control Program HIV surveillance system indicates the large majority of infections are acquired via heterosexual transmission, and this survey showed levels of awareness of HIV/AIDS and means to protect onself from becoming infected were poor.
Previous HIV prevalence surveys have occurred among pregnant women, with prevalences as high as 2.94% in 1997, indicating regional variation in ANC prevalences. Although the 2002 report did not include blood donors, HIV rates among blood donors increased from 0.15% in 1993 to 1.4% in 1999 and 2000 respectively.
*Sudan National AIDS Control Program, Federal Ministry of Health, Situation Analysis:
Behavioural and Epidemiologic Surveys and Response Analysis, October 2002.
Low estimate
High estimate
6,000
72,000
Low estimate
High estimate
Estimated number of children who have lost their mother or father or both parents to AIDS and who were alive and under age 17 at the end of 2003:
Low estimate
High estimate
8,700
61,000
Low estimate
High estimate
120,000
1,300,000
Low estimate
High estimate
120,000
1,200,000
Low estimate
High estimate
66,000
690,000
Low estimate
High estimate
0.7
7.2
http://data.unaids.org/Publications/Fact-Sheets01/sudan_EN.pdf
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